Besiktas vs Kocaelispor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Tupras Stadium
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.26
Draw
5.80
Away Win
10.27
Match Prediction
Data favours
Besiktas
Besiktas rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving Besiktas a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Besiktas slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Besiktas stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Besiktas stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Besiktas have secured four victories from their last five home outings, whereas Kocaelispor have managed just a single win in their corresponding away sample. Besiktas have found the net in each of their last five home matches while also recording three clean sheets during that same period. Besiktas rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while defence is closely matched. Besiktas won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 28 February 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Kocaelispor's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Besiktas a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Besiktas
No current absences reported
Kocaelispor
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Besiktas win
Latest market chance 74.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
74.5% → 74.5%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 16.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
16.6% → 16.6%
±0.0 pts
Kocaelispor win
Latest market chance 8.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
8.8% → 8.8%
±0.0 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BesiktasKocaelispor

Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
4th
6
Games Played
6
2.00
Points/Game
2.00
2.33
Goals/Game
1.17
1.17
Conceded/Game
0.67
17.8
Shots/Game
12.3
6.3
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Besiktas at home (4 matches) vs Kocaelispor away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
3.25
Goals/Game
0.67
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.33
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Besiktas
Home form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Kocaelispor
Away form
D
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Besiktas Wins
5
Draws
0
Kocaelispor Wins
0
Avg Goals
4.2
Kocaelispor0 – 1Besiktas
Besiktas3 – 1Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor1 – 3Besiktas
Besiktas5 – 2Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor0 – 5Besiktas
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Besiktasvs
Kocaelispor

Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded / game
0.70
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 12 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.6%→Latest 59.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.2%→Latest 46.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Besiktas's 10 matches and 3 of Kocaelispor's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?