Vicenza vs Pisa Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Stadio Romeo Menti
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:15 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.02
Draw
3.39
Away Win
2.36
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Pisa edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Pisa slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Pisa have secured three wins from their last five away fixtures, while Vicenza have recorded two victories alongside two draws in their five home outings. Vicenza have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same span. Pisa rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 15 February 2022, ended level, with 3 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 4.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Vicenza's implied win probability has fallen by 2.9 percentage points, while Pisa's implied win probability has risen by 3.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Pisa
Pisa's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Pisa win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Vicenza win
Latest market chance 32.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
34.9% → 32.0%
−2.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.1% → 27.9%
−0.2 pts
Pisa win
Latest market chance 40.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
37.0% → 40.1%
+3.1 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+3.5+1.750−1.75Oct 4Oct 5Oct 6
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Vicenza
Draw
Pisa
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Vicenza
Pisa
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
10th
5
Games Played
5
1.00
Points/Game
1.40
1.40
Goals/Game
1.60
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.60
13.8
Shots/Game
16.2
4.2
Shots on Target
6.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Vicenza at home (2 matches) vs Pisa away (2 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
2.00
2.00
Goals/Game
2.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.00
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Vicenza
Home form
D
L
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Pisa
Away form
W
W
L
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Vicenza Wins
1
Draws
3
Pisa Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.6
2022-02-152021-2022
Pisa2 – 2Vicenza
2021-09-182021-2022
Vicenza1 – 3Pisa
2021-02-272020-2021
Pisa2 – 2Vicenza
2020-10-312020-2021
Vicenza4 – 4Pisa
2017-03-122016-2017
Vicenza2 – 1Pisa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Vicenza
vs
Pisa
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
76.6%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
53.4%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
33.7%
BTTSBoth teams score
58.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 12 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.1%→Latest 53.4%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 58.4%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
5 of Vicenza's 10 matches and 5 of Pisa's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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