Forfar vs Elgin Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Station Park
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.62
Draw
3.56
Away Win
1.82
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Forfar edge head-to-head, Elgin edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Elgin stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Elgin stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Forfar stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
While Forfar have enjoyed a strong home run with four wins from their last five outings, Elgin are looking to improve an away record of just one win and two draws from the same number of matches. Forfar have scored in four of their last five home games yet still managed to keep a clean sheet on four occasions during that identical run. Elgin rate stronger on form and attack, while Forfar rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 8 August 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Elgin losing run
12
Forfar points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Forfar win
Latest market chance 25.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 25.3%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.7% → 24.9%
+0.2 pts
Elgin win
Latest market chance 49.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
50.0% → 49.8%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Forfar
Draw
Elgin
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ForfarElgin
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
4th
9
Games Played
9
1.22
Points/Game
1.56
1.00
Goals/Game
2.78
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.78
8.2
Shots/Game
11.8
3.9
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Forfar at home (4 matches) vs Elgin away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
1.00
1.25
Goals/Game
2.25
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.75
75%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Forfar
Home form
W
W
W
L
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Elgin
Away form
D
W
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Forfar Wins
2
Draws
1
Elgin Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Elgin1 – 1Forfar
Forfar2 – 1Elgin
Elgin2 – 0Forfar
Forfar4 – 2Elgin
Elgin2 – 1Forfar
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Forfarvs
Elgin
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
2.50
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.9%→Latest 55.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.6%→Latest 57.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Forfar's 10 matches and 1 of Elgin's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?