Hull vs Everton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
MKM Stadium
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.73
Draw
3.45
Away Win
2.10
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Everton edge attack, defence and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Everton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Everton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Everton stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hull have secured two victories in their last five home outings, while Everton remain winless away from home with three draws and two defeats across that same span. The Tigers have found the net in three of their last five matches at this venue, yet they have also kept a clean sheet on three occasions during that identical period. Everton rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack and defence, while form is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2017. Over the 27-day comparison window, Hull's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points, while Everton's implied win probability has fallen by 0.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Hull
No current absences reported
Everton
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Hull
Hull's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Hull win as more likely than it did 27 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Everton remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hull win
Latest market chance 26.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.4% → 26.4%
+1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
28.9% → 28.1%
−0.8 pts
Everton win
Latest market chance 45.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
45.7% → 45.5%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hull
Draw
Everton
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 27 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HullEverton
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
7th
5
Games Played
5
1.60
Points/Game
1.80
1.20
Goals/Game
1.20
0.80
Conceded/Game
0.60
12.2
Shots/Game
16.0
3.8
Shots on Target
4.6
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Hull at home (2 matches) vs Everton away (2 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.50
0.00
Conceded/Game
0.50
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hull
Home form
W
L
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Everton
Away form
L
D
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hull Wins
1
Draws
2
Everton Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Everton4 – 0Hull
Hull2 – 2Everton
Hull2 – 0Everton
Everton1 – 1Hull
Hull0 – 2Everton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Hullvs
Everton
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 16 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 41.0%→Latest 45.5%+4.5 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.8%→Latest 50.0%+3.2 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Hull's 10 matches and 5 of Everton's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?