Halifax vs Gateshead Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Shay
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.39
Draw
4.92
Away Win
6.58
Match Prediction
Statistical Comparison
Halifax stronger
Halifax rate stronger across every available category. They lead recent form and head-to-head. The overall statistical comparison rates Halifax stronger.
Leads 2 of 2 major categories
How They Compare
Recent Form
Halifax stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Halifax stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Gateshead arrive at this National League fixture carrying a poor away record of five defeats from their last five outings, while Halifax look to build on an encouraging home run of three wins and two draws from the same number of matches. Halifax have found the net in every one of their last five matches at this venue, though they have managed to keep a clean sheet only twice during that same period. Halifax rate stronger on form and head-to-head. Gateshead won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 17 February 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Halifax's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Halifax's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while Gateshead's implied win probability has risen by 0.6 percentage points. The statistical comparison rates Halifax stronger overall.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Gateshead losing run
0
Gateshead points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Halifax
Halifax's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Halifax win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Halifax win
Latest market chance 66.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
67.2% → 66.3%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.7% → 20.1%
+0.4 pts
Gateshead win
Latest market chance 13.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
13.1% → 13.7%
+0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Halifax
Draw
Gateshead
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HalifaxGateshead
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
24th
12
Games Played
12
1.42
Points/Game
0.33
1.50
Goals/Game
0.58
1.17
Conceded/Game
2.25
9.7
Shots/Game
6.1
5.6
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away Context
Halifax at home (6 matches) vs Gateshead away (6 matches)
1.83
Points/Game
0.00
1.83
Goals/Game
0.33
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.67
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Halifax
Home form
W
W
W
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Gateshead
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Halifax Wins
3
Draws
1
Gateshead Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Halifax1 – 2Gateshead
Gateshead1 – 2Halifax
Gateshead1 – 3Halifax
Halifax1 – 1Gateshead
Gateshead0 – 2Halifax
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Halifaxvs
Gateshead
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
0.40
0.80
Goals conceded / game
2.50
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.3%→Latest 57.0%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.7%→Latest 50.5%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?