Oldham vs Accrington Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Boundary Park
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.59
Draw
4.15
Away Win
5.03
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Oldham edge attack and head-to-head, Accrington edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Accrington stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Oldham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Oldham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Oldham have recorded three wins from their last five home outings, whereas Accrington have secured just a solitary draw across their last five away fixtures. Oldham have found the net in all of their last five home matches while also keeping three clean sheets during that same period. Accrington rate stronger on form, while Oldham hold a slight advantage in attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Oldham won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 2 May 2026, having won 1 of the last 2 encounters to Accrington's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Oldham's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points, while Accrington's implied win probability has fallen by 0.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Oldham
Oldham's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Oldham win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Oldham win
Latest market chance 59.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
58.2% → 59.1%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.9% → 22.6%
−0.3 pts
Accrington win
Latest market chance 18.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.9% → 18.3%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Oldham
Draw
Accrington
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OldhamAccrington
Season Profile
This season
21st
League Position
16th
8
Games Played
9
0.88
Points/Game
1.11
1.12
Goals/Game
1.44
1.62
Conceded/Game
1.56
15.0
Shots/Game
14.6
4.1
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Oldham at home (4 matches) vs Accrington away (4 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
0.25
1.75
Goals/Game
1.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Oldham
Home form
W
W
W
L
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Accrington
Away form
L
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Oldham Wins
1
Draws
0
Accrington Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Oldham3 – 0Accrington
Accrington1 – 0Oldham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Oldhamvs
Accrington
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 14 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.6%→Latest 55.2%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.7%→Latest 53.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Oldham's 10 matches and 1 of Accrington's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?