Leicester vs Peterboro Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
King Power Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.61
Draw
4.39
Away Win
4.71
Match Prediction
Data favours
Leicester
Leicester rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Peterboro edge head-to-head, giving Leicester a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Leicester stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Leicester stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Leicester slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Peterboro stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Peterboro arrive at this League One fixture with a poor away record, having recorded just one draw from their last five matches across seasons, while Leicester have been more competitive at home with two wins and one draw in that same span. At home, Leicester have scored in four of their last five outings but have also kept two clean sheets in that identical period. Leicester rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Peterboro rate stronger on head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2013. The market has remained broadly steady over the 13-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Leicester a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
46%
Peterboro yellow cards after 75'
1
Peterboro points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Leicester
No current absences reported
Peterboro
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 13 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Leicester win
Latest market chance 58.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
58.3% → 58.5%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.1% → 21.9%
−0.2 pts
Peterboro win
Latest market chance 19.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.6% → 19.6%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Leicester
Draw
Peterboro
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LeicesterPeterboro
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
23rd
7
Games Played
8
1.29
Points/Game
0.63
1.29
Goals/Game
0.50
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.62
15.6
Shots/Game
13.4
5.0
Shots on Target
2.9
Home vs Away Context
Leicester at home (3 matches) vs Peterboro away (4 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.25
1.00
Goals/Game
0.25
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Leicester
Home form
W
D
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Peterboro
Away form
L
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Leicester Wins
2
Draws
1
Peterboro Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Peterboro2 – 1Leicester
Leicester2 – 0Peterboro
Peterboro1 – 0Leicester
Leicester1 – 1Peterboro
Peterboro1 – 2Leicester
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Leicestervs
Peterboro
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 14 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.9%→Latest 65.1%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 63.0%→Latest 62.0%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
3 of Leicester's 10 matches and 2 of Peterboro's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?