Mallorca vs Las Palmas Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.53
Draw
4.30
Away Win
5.82
Match Prediction
Data favours
Mallorca
Mallorca rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; attack is closely matched, giving Mallorca a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Mallorca stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Mallorca have secured four victories from their last five outings at home, while Las Palmas have managed two wins in the same number of away fixtures. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at home yet have also kept three clean sheets within that identical recent sample. Mallorca rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Mallorca won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 16 February 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Las Palmas's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Mallorca's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points, while Las Palmas's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Mallorca a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Mallorca
Mallorca's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Mallorca win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Mallorca win
Latest market chance 60.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
58.5% → 60.6%
+2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
23.6% → 22.5%
−1.1 pts
Las Palmas win
Latest market chance 16.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
17.9% → 16.9%
−1.0 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MallorcaLas Palmas

Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
11th
8
Games Played
8
1.75
Points/Game
1.38
1.00
Goals/Game
1.50
0.38
Conceded/Game
1.62
12.2
Shots/Game
10.6
3.6
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Mallorca at home (4 matches) vs Las Palmas away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
1.50
1.75
Goals/Game
1.75
0.25
Conceded/Game
2.00
75%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Mallorca
Home form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Las Palmas
Away form
D
W
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Mallorca Wins
3
Draws
2
Las Palmas Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.8
Mallorca3 – 1Las Palmas
Las Palmas2 – 3Mallorca
Mallorca1 – 0Las Palmas
Las Palmas1 – 1Mallorca
Las Palmas1 – 1Mallorca
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Mallorcavs
Las Palmas

Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded / game
1.50
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 16 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.7%→Latest 53.0%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.9%→Latest 50.4%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Mallorca's 10 matches and 2 of Las Palmas's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?