Celta B vs Sociedad B Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Municipal de Barreiro
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.28
Draw
3.53
Away Win
3.05
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Celta B edge recent form, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Celta B slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Sociedad B have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away fixtures, while Celta B have managed just one win and two draws in their corresponding home outings. Celta B have scored in four of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same span. Celta B hold a slight advantage in form, while attack and defence are closely matched. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Celta B win
Latest market chance 41.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.9% → 41.8%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.8% → 26.8%
±0.0 pts
Sociedad B win
Latest market chance 31.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.3% → 31.4%
+0.1 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Celta BSociedad B
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
16th
8
Games Played
8
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.25
Goals/Game
1.38
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.62
12.0
Shots/Game
10.8
4.9
Shots on Target
3.5
Home vs Away Context
Celta B at home (5 matches) vs Sociedad B away (5 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.40
1.40
Goals/Game
1.80
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
20%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Celta B
Home form
W
L
L
D
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sociedad B
Away form
W
D
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Celta B and Sociedad B.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Celta Bvs
Sociedad B
Recent Scoring Profile
1.22
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.67
Goals conceded / game
1.70
4/9
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/9
Both Teams Scored
8/10
3/9
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 12 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 55.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 58.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Celta B have only 9 completed fixtures on record.
1 of Sociedad B's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?