Standard vs Charleroi Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Maurice Dufrasnestadion
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.94
Draw
3.46
Away Win
2.38
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Charleroi edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Charleroi stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Charleroi slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Charleroi stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Charleroi stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Charleroi arrive at this Belgian Pro League fixture with an impressive run of five straight away victories in their last five outings, while Standard have secured just two wins from their last five home matches. Standard have scored in three of their last five home matches but have also kept three clean sheets during that same period. Charleroi rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Charleroi won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 23 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Standard's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Charleroi unbeaten run
62%
Charleroi yellow cards after 75'
15
Charleroi points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Standard
No current absences reported
Charleroi
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Standard win
Latest market chance 32.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.3% → 32.3%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.5% → 27.6%
+0.1 pts
Charleroi win
Latest market chance 40.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
40.1% → 40.2%
+0.1 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StandardCharleroi
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
4th
7
Games Played
7
1.57
Points/Game
2.57
1.86
Goals/Game
2.14
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.00
14.0
Shots/Game
18.0
5.4
Shots on Target
5.9
Home vs Away Context
Standard at home (3 matches) vs Charleroi away (3 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
3.00
1.67
Goals/Game
1.67
0.67
Conceded/Game
0.33
67%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Standard
Home form
D
L
D
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Charleroi
Away form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Standard Wins
2
Draws
0
Charleroi Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Standard0 – 2Charleroi
Charleroi1 – 2Standard
Charleroi2 – 0Standard
Standard3 – 1Charleroi
Standard0 – 1Charleroi
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Standardvs
Charleroi
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 14 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.3%→Latest 52.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 56.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Standard's 10 matches and 3 of Charleroi's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?